闭眼思考不需要电脑，Track交易策略【20190218】

(发布时间：2019-02-19)

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最近发文很少，但并没有停止思考，近期推出一个主题课程，检验一下我的思考结果，主题：简化交易简化分析。

Track导师培训课程内容点击下面红字：

微观K线分析，市场逻辑把握，（9800元加入导师每晚8点独家课程解析，咨询：18501674300）

今日解盘：

</p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: 微软雅黑;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: 微软雅黑;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">以下分析均出自<strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">OANDA(安达)独家提供的技术指标，指标原理是根据<strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">OANDA(安达)全球零售客户的持仓、挂单情况编制而成，在公众号</strong></span></strong>后台输入：“oanda”，即可查看使用说明。</span></strong></span></strong></span><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 41, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">oanda实盘客户均可免费使用该指标。</strong></span></strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: 微软雅黑;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 41, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">USDJPY：</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 15px;">从1小时级别趋势角度，因周四大阴线的影响，行情由多转空，收复该阴线，即涨至110.60/111.00上方，则看震荡/看涨。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-ratio="0.41386554621848737" data-s="300,640" src="http://pk.langyabang.com//wx_pic/cb92721d17995e7b3bdb34b9a8dd6707-493a32826feb45542db4c6f80a976b6b.jpg" data-type="png" data-w="2856" style="" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">可以看到零售客户在这里的多空持仓处于（多头：53.8%，空头：46.2%），大量用户在110.50挂空单卖出，109.85/110.00挂多单买入。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-ratio="0.43636363636363634" data-s="300,640" src="http://pk.langyabang.com//wx_pic/cb92721d17995e7b3bdb34b9a8dd6707-7148d492902262de0b71534458f9a580.jpg" data-type="png" data-w="2860" style="" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">2.18_USDJPY_挂单情况</strong></span><br /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">从持仓情况看：空单套牢盘110.30<span style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">附近，多单套牢盘110.55附近，一般来说回归到套牢盘（获利盘）成本附近，会有明显的压力支撑作用(多单套牢盘，压力位；空单套牢盘，支撑位)。</span></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-ratio="0.4359692092372288" data-s="300,640" src="http://pk.langyabang.com//wx_pic/cb92721d17995e7b3bdb34b9a8dd6707-eb65c1c4dab4bb5525fcf8c388c8eca5.jpg" data-type="png" data-w="2858" style="" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">2.18_USDJPY_持仓情况</strong><br /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 41, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">关于该持仓、挂单指标的使用心得：</span></strong><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">1.该指标的编制方式很独特，因为它让我们了解到更多关于行情的细节，一般意义上，散户是看不到外汇市场的持仓分布情况的，<strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">OANDA(安达)</strong>愿意将经纪商掌握的该数据和散户分享，十分难度，为OANDA(安达)点赞。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">2.该指标是每5min刷新一次，可以及时、动态地反映出价格变化背后的秘密，具有极高的研究探讨价值。可惜本文只能做静态讲解，不能全面其精髓。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">3.该指标的使用也可以参考股市里的“筹码分布”概念。熟悉“筹码分布”，你也会对该指标使用得心应手。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">4.所谓筹码峰的应用，有单峰、双峰等形态，单峰形态说明筹码集中，容易走出单边行情，而双峰形态，则行情往往在双峰之间运行。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">5.观察筹码的移动过程，一定程度上可以推算行情运行的距离，当获利盘/套牢盘大幅减少，行情可能快反转，即便不反转也会转入盘整。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">6.注意挂单/持仓图中单筹码集中的价格，在这些价格，行情倾向于起到支撑、压力的作用。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">以上分析仅代表嘉宾/指标观点，不代表外汇交易圈、道恩学院的意见，仅作为交易参考，不作为投资建议。原创不易，希望大家在阅读后顺便点赞，以示鼓励！坚持是一种信仰，专注是一种态度！</span></p><p style="font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-variant-ligatures: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></span></p></section></section></section><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="font-size: 16px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-variant-ligatures: normal;font-variant-position: normal;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-alternates: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;orphans: 2;text-align: center;widows: 1;font-family: 微软雅黑;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(255, 41, 65);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">想加入多个专业的500人外汇交易微信群吗？</strong></span><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></section><section style="font-size: 16px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);letter-spacing: 0.543999969959259px;text-align: justify;line-height: 25.6px;font-family: 微软雅黑;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="min-height: 1em;text-align: center;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(255, 41, 65);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">添加小编个人微信（forextop77）入群</strong></span></p></section><p style="font-size: 16px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.543999969959259px;line-height: 25.6px;text-align: center;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><img class="" data-ratio="0.8766891891891891" data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-w="592" height="394" width="449" src="http://pk.langyabang.com//wx_pic/cb92721d17995e7b3bdb34b9a8dd6707-29c35a6c3dedf02d8b1dc98d06a10e96.jpg" style="height: 194px;width: 221px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;visibility: visible !important;" /></p><p style="white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.543999969959259px;font-size: 17.1429px;orphans: 2;widows: 2;line-height: 28.4444px;text-align: center;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 16px;color: rgb(255, 41, 65);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 15px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">长按或扫一扫二维码关注外汇交易圈</span></strong></span></p><p style="font-size: 16px;white-space: normal;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.543999969959259px;text-align: center;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><img class="" data-copyright="0" data-ratio="1" data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-w="344" width="auto" src="http://pk.langyabang.com//wx_pic/cb92721d17995e7b3bdb34b9a8dd6707-b8b492d2e1a001e04795e0656005b69a.jpg" style="height: 209px;width: 209px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: 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