等不了，做不好，track交易策略【20180312】

(发布时间：2019-03-12)

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欧元，黄金做多继续等待机会，澳元做多，加元做空顺利，英镑昨日看多倾向超预期。

你是不是看到行情走出连续性行情而你不在车上有种莫名的失落，那说明你还没有建立好买卖规则，或者说在你过往的交易生涯中也许有过获利，但你还没有真正用你晚上的买卖规则指导下成功过，所以你每天总是不安怕错过任何一次行情的涨跌。

如果你等不了，那你一定做不好。

微观K线分析，市场逻辑把握，（9800元加入导师每晚8点独家课程解析，咨询：18501674300）

今日解盘：

</p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: 微软雅黑;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: 微软雅黑;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">以下分析均出自<strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">OANDA(安达)独家提供的技术指标，指标原理是根据<strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">OANDA(安达)全球零售客户的持仓、挂单情况编制而成，在公众号</strong></span></strong>后台输入：“oanda”，即可查看使用说明。</span></strong></span></strong></span><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 41, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">oanda实盘客户均可免费使用该指标。</strong></span></strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: 微软雅黑;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 41, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">XAUUSD：</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 15px;">从下图可以清楚的看出黄金走势：1小时级别下跌后矩形整理，向上突破后多头发力走出一段行情，昨日回踩矩形上边界，确认突破有效。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-ratio="0.4310706787963611" data-s="300,640" src="http://pk.langyabang.com//wx_pic/834108a12390ad3c309cef872fa5d099-095f95055d9b181fb8e6e1b56efe9a3a.jpg" data-type="png" data-w="2858" style="" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">可以看到零售客户在这里的多空持仓处于（多头：68.3%，空头：31.7%），和昨日相比，多头获利盘继续平仓，多头<span style="font-size: 15px;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;widows: 2;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">持仓稍有增加</span>。大量客户选择1304卖出，1283买入。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-ratio="0.43157894736842106" data-s="300,640" src="http://pk.langyabang.com//wx_pic/834108a12390ad3c309cef872fa5d099-ee26c54c34cd5fd5cf9fc9af1c32e1ec.jpg" data-type="png" data-w="2850" style="" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">3.12_XAUUSD_挂单情况</strong></span><br /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">从持仓情况看：大量买入仓位在1296.5，大量卖出仓位在1326.5/1280。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="" data-ratio="0.4326788218793829" data-s="300,640" src="http://pk.langyabang.com//wx_pic/834108a12390ad3c309cef872fa5d099-fb8e75d659b90f84f54a0758f31fc63b.jpg" data-type="png" data-w="2852" style="" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">3.12_XAUUSD_持仓情况</strong><br /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 41, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">关于该持仓、挂单指标的使用心得：</span></strong><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">1.该指标的编制方式很独特，因为它让我们了解到更多关于行情的细节，一般意义上，散户是看不到外汇市场的持仓分布情况的，<strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">OANDA(安达)</strong>愿意将经纪商掌握的该数据和散户分享，十分难度，为OANDA(安达)点赞。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">2.该指标是每5min刷新一次，可以及时、动态地反映出价格变化背后的秘密，具有极高的研究探讨价值。可惜本文只能做静态讲解，不能全面其精髓。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">3.该指标的使用也可以参考股市里的“筹码分布”概念。熟悉“筹码分布”，你也会对该指标使用得心应手。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">4.所谓筹码峰的应用，有单峰、双峰等形态，单峰形态说明筹码集中，容易走出单边行情，而双峰形态，则行情往往在双峰之间运行。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">5.观察筹码的移动过程，一定程度上可以推算行情运行的距离，当获利盘/套牢盘大幅减少，行情可能快反转，即便不反转也会转入盘整。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">6.注意挂单/持仓图中单筹码集中的价格，在这些价格，行情倾向于起到支撑、压力的作用。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">7.注意多空持仓比例的变化，若多头仓位持续加大，严重高于空头，则需谨防一种行情：如再继续下跌，多头止损盘将涌出导致行情极速下跌，往往这种情况之后行情又将缓慢上涨（参考1月3日美日行情）。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">以上分析仅代表嘉宾/指标观点，不代表外汇交易圈、道恩学院的意见，仅作为交易参考，不作为投资建议。原创不易，希望大家在阅读后顺便点赞，以示鼓励！坚持是一种信仰，专注是一种态度！</span></p><p style="font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-variant-ligatures: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></span></p></section></section></section><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="font-size: 16px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-variant-ligatures: normal;font-variant-position: normal;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-alternates: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;orphans: 2;text-align: center;widows: 1;font-family: 微软雅黑;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(255, 41, 65);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: 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