简化交易是交易盈利的必修课，track交易策略【20190325】

(发布时间：2019-03-27)

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简化交易是交易盈利的必修课。如果你学习了一个方法之后没有到达预期效果。两种情况，一种是方法本身有问题或者你理解出现了问题，第二种的概率会更大，是你不能对于你所学的方法去做出概括和总结，不能总结你所学的方法就会导致交易分析复杂化，市场本身不复杂，你把分析弄复杂了你一定做不好交易。

市场就两种情况，有动能和无动能。一个品种一天是有一定的波动幅度的，所以如果把交易划分到每一天我们主要应该是把握当天的动能波动，那么动能波动。动能运行无非两种情况，调整后爆发动能这就是回撤入场，还有就是没有回撤直接产生动能这就是动能突破，只要行情在这一天不是震荡没有动能的情况，基本跑不出这两种启动能的方式，所以只要能够很好的掌握回撤入场和突破入场就能够抓到这个品种的行情。

早学早受益，导师承诺：只会涨价，不会降价（9800元加入导师每晚8点独家课程解析，咨询：18501674300

今日关注

2019/03/25

欧元：上方关注1.13620-1.13186的区间压力。下方1.13156上破战争看涨至1.13610

英镑：1.13593-1.13514布局多单止损1.31273。

澳元：上周五布局的多单浮亏，从周线上看澳元有下行可能，暂时观望。

日元：110.432布局空单止损111.002

加元：暂时观察。

黄金：观望。

标普：2872.5-28376.区间压力布局空止损2849.7。下方如果今天下下跌我们在2794.6布局多单止损2772.4目标看向前方提到的做空位置。

原油：59.44-59.56布局空单止损60.09，目标58.75-57.81-56.87。

视频分析

</p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: 微软雅黑;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: 微软雅黑;color: rgb(62, 62, 62);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">以下分析均出自<strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">OANDA(安达)独家提供的技术指标，指标原理是根据<strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">OANDA(安达)全球零售客户的持仓、挂单情况编制而成，在公众号</strong></span></strong>后台输入：“oanda”，即可查看使用说明。</span></strong></span></strong></span><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 41, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">oanda实盘客户均可免费使用该指标。</strong></span></strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: 微软雅黑;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 41, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">XAUUSD：</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 41, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 15px;">近日黄金一小时级别上下引线较多，多空反转比较频繁，这个时候看盘，包括操作级别应该扩大。副图指标，红线（USD）5.84强度一般，可以看到白线（JPY）9.33强度爆表。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.4271708683473389" data-s="300,640" src="http://pk.langyabang.com//wx_pic/989f432459a58deae6b2318d114a0840-5c998d75842e5b2b6e2cf9fa6a94a6c1.jpg" data-type="png" data-w="2856" style="" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">可以看到零售客户在这里的多空持仓处于（多头：64.4%，空头：35.6%），大量客户选择1320卖出，1290买入。黄金价格运行通道区间。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.4281709880868956" data-s="300,640" src="http://pk.langyabang.com//wx_pic/989f432459a58deae6b2318d114a0840-bee295ace953ec7adfdab94433d37958.jpg" data-type="png" data-w="2854" style="" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">3.25_XAUUSD_挂单情况</strong></span><br /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">从持仓情况看：大量买入仓位在1312.5，大量卖出仓位在1298.5。</span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><img class="rich_pages" data-ratio="0.43127629733520334" data-s="300,640" src="http://pk.langyabang.com//wx_pic/989f432459a58deae6b2318d114a0840-11743429b203cce766efc9d06f387fb1.jpg" data-type="png" data-w="2852" style="letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;text-align: center;white-space: normal;widows: 2;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">3.25_XAUUSD_持仓情况</strong><br /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;text-align: center;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.5440000295639038px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(255, 41, 65);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">关于该持仓、挂单指标的使用心得：</span></strong><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">1.该指标的编制方式很独特，因为它让我们了解到更多关于行情的细节，一般意义上，散户是看不到外汇市场的持仓分布情况的，<strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">OANDA(安达)</strong>愿意将经纪商掌握的该数据和散户分享，十分难度，为OANDA(安达)点赞。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">2.该指标是每5min刷新一次，可以及时、动态地反映出价格变化背后的秘密，具有极高的研究探讨价值。可惜本文只能做静态讲解，不能全面其精髓。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">3.该指标的使用也可以参考股市里的“筹码分布”概念。熟悉“筹码分布”，你也会对该指标使用得心应手。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">4.所谓筹码峰的应用，有单峰、双峰等形态，单峰形态说明筹码集中，容易走出单边行情，而双峰形态，则行情往往在双峰之间运行。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">5.观察筹码的移动过程，一定程度上可以推算行情运行的距离，当获利盘/套牢盘大幅减少，行情可能快反转，即便不反转也会转入盘整。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">6.注意挂单/持仓图中单筹码集中的价格，在这些价格，行情倾向于起到支撑、压力的作用。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;color: rgb(0, 82, 255);font-family: 微软雅黑;font-size: 15px;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">7.注意多空持仓比例的变化，若多头仓位持续加大，严重高于空头，则需谨防一种行情：如再继续下跌，多头止损盘将涌出导致行情极速下跌，往往这种情况之后行情又将缓慢上涨（参考1月3日美日行情）。</strong></span></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;" /></p><p style="max-width: 100%;min-height: 1em;letter-spacing: 0.544px;orphans: 2;white-space: normal;widows: 2;font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-variant-ligatures: normal;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="max-width: 100%;font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 15px;color: rgb(136, 136, 136);box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;">以上分析仅代表嘉宾/指标观点，不代表外汇交易圈、道恩学院的意见，仅作为交易参考，不作为投资建议。原创不易，希望大家在阅读后顺便点赞，以示鼓励！坚持是一种信仰，专注是一种态度！</span></p><p style="font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;min-height: 1em;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-variant-ligatures: normal;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><br /></p></section></section></section><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" style="font-size: 16px;white-space: normal;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);letter-spacing: 0.544px;font-variant-ligatures: normal;font-variant-position: normal;font-variant-numeric: normal;font-variant-alternates: normal;font-variant-east-asian: normal;orphans: 2;text-align: center;widows: 1;font-family: 微软雅黑;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 14px;color: rgb(255, 41, 65);max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;word-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong 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